Why The West Overlooked The Creation Of Putin's Evil Empire? | Julian Lindley-French | Tvp World

In 2022, Russia's invasion of Ukraine shocked the world and was deemed by many as a transformative moment in global geopolitics. However, some argue that this invasion was a long time coming and that there were major clues signaling this event well before 2022. In this article, we will delve into the events leading up to the invasion, the missed warnings, and the implications for the future of international relations.

The Munich Security Conference: A Clue Ignored

Back in 2007, during the Munich Security Conference, often referred to as the Davos of military meetings, there was a major clue that indicated the aggressive nature of the Putin regime. However, the world, particularly European elites, chose to ignore this clue as they did not want to hear the truth. President Putin had warned about his intentions, but the risk aversion and self-focus on European institution-building overshadowed his words. This denial and lack of strategic culture among European leaders led to a failure to respond appropriately to the warning signs.

Crises Distracting European Leaders

Between 2007 and 2022, several crises, such as the banking crisis, financial crisis, Brexit, and COVID-19, had distracted European leaders from focusing on the wider geopolitical landscape, of which Russia was a significant player. European leaders, particularly those in Germany, became too consumed with internal matters and institution-building, neglecting the growing threat from Russia. This lack of attention and obsession with European integration left Russia and other peripheral powers, like Turkey, feeling left out and undervalued by the European Union.

The Question of Complicity

As we reflect on the tragedy of Ukraine, we must ask ourselves some critical questions about our own complicity in these events. The three major peripheral powers of Europe - Britain, Russia, and Turkey - all have had their issues with the European Union. The dynamics between these powers and the EU warrant further examination. Furthermore, the West's history of engaging in realpolitik, at times abandoning the principles of international law, has been a point of critique from countries like India. This gives weight to Russia's accusation that the West has double standards. The invasion of Ukraine provides a genuine opportunity for the West to stand firmly on the principles of international law, which have been grossly violated.

The Future of International Institutions: The United Nations and NATO

The United Nations, established in 1945, has long been criticized for its inefficiency and inability to address global conflicts adequately. However, despite its flaws, the UN Charter, which outlines principles of self-defense, respect for borders, and human rights, still carries weight in terms of international law. The recent violations of the Charter by Russia highlight the importance of upholding these principles, regardless of the institution's failures. The primary fault line between Russia, China, and the West lies in the divide between the rules-based order and realpolitik. This divide forms the basis of the Ukraine conflict and poses a challenge for the future of international institutions.

Regarding NATO, there is growing debate about its expansion beyond its traditional Euro-Atlantic focus. While Japan, South Korea, and Australia are not seeking full NATO membership, there is a recognition of the value of NATO's interoperability standards. These countries prefer to work alongside NATO forces, benefiting from the shared knowledge and procedures developed through coalition building in previous conflicts, such as Afghanistan. This collaboration ensures efficiency and stability in global security efforts.

European Defense Ambitions: Taking a Stand

European countries, particularly those in Continental Europe, must take a hard look at their defense ambitions. Despite the rhetoric of strategic autonomy, there is a lack of ambition and action when it comes to investing in defense capabilities. The figures for defense budget increases and the pace of defense planning fail to match the language and urgency of the situation. This discrepancy exposes a cultural problem of talking instead of doing. There is a need for European countries to step up and take more responsibility for their own defense, easing the burden on the United States and ensuring self-sufficiency in times of crisis.

Turkey's Role and NATO Unity

Turkey, as the second-largest NATO army, plays a crucial role in the alliance's stability and security. Its geographical position between Euro-Atlantic and Asian security makes it a pivot point in global geopolitics. Despite challenges and occasional difficulties, it is better to have Turkey inside the alliance than outside, causing disruptions and instability. Turkey's presence as a stabilizing force in the Middle East and its cooperation with NATO allies in the region outweigh any difficulties it may present within the organization.

The Path Forward: A Global Network of Stabilizing Forces

Looking ahead, NATO's strength lies in its ability to foster interoperability among its member states. The alliance's standards and methodologies, developed through extensive joint research, development, and cooperation, have far-reaching implications beyond the Euro-Atlantic region. The emergence of an international community of democracies, driven by shared values, poses a new challenge to the increasing assertiveness of countries like China. This community provides a platform for collaboration, stability, and protection of liberal democracy and human rights.

In conclusion, the invasion of Ukraine by Russia has undoubtedly served as a transformative moment in global geopolitics. It has exposed weaknesses in international institutions, sparked debates about the future of NATO, and challenged European countries to take a stronger stance on defense. This moment calls for a unified effort to uphold the principles of international law and build a global network of stabilizing forces that can address the challenges of the 21st century. The path forward will require strategic vision, ambition, and a willingness to bridge the gaps between rhetoric and action. The world is at a critical juncture, and it is time for decisive leadership and collaboration to shape a more stable and secure future.