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Former General Sergiy Kudelia of Baylor University has predicted that Russia will likely launch a major offensive in Ukraine during the summer. Kudelia believes that Russia's strategy is to wait for Ukraine's troops in Bakhmut to run out of supplies and withdraw, thereby gaining control of the city. However, Ukraine's defense of Avdiivka, near Donetsk, is crucial in blocking Russia's attacking and encircling direction from the north. Despite Avdiivka being reduced to ruins, Kudelia emphasizes the importance of Ukraine successfully defending the city.

The situation in Bakhmut remains tense, with Russian forces attempting to breach the defensive lines. Ukrainian Army Commander Oleksandr Syrskyi is leading the defense, coordinating actions with lower ranks to prevent enemy advances. The control of Ivanivske, located on the western outskirts of Bakhmut, is crucial in preventing Russia from cutting off supply routes and penetrating Ukraine's defensive line. Despite increased fighting and support from air and artillery forces, Russian forces have not made significant progress in Bakhmut.

The Battle for Avdiivka

Avdiivka is another hotspot of conflict, with the Wagner private military group denying reports of sending troops to the frontline. The city has been heavily shelled, turning it into a "doomsday" place. The Ukrainian police are trying to evacuate remaining residents, but many are refusing to leave due to age, lack of funds, or fear of being unable to support themselves elsewhere. The defense of Avdiivka is crucial in blocking Russia's control over the important stronghold of Donetsk.

Concerns around the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant

Military activities near the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant are increasing, raising concerns about a potential disaster. Soldiers, heavy artillery, and military vehicles are present around the largest nuclear power plant in Europe. Russia has seized the plant, and efforts are being made by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi to establish a safe zone and prevent a potential catastrophe.

The Predicted Attack and International Involvement

Former Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Viktor Muzhenko, predicts that Russia could initiate an attack in the coming summer or autumn. August holds significance for the Russian military due to the 80th anniversary of the Battle of Kursh. However, Muzhenko notes that the question is when Russia will accumulate enough resources to achieve military superiority after heavy losses. The Washington-based Institute for the Study of War previously predicted that Moscow was considering launching an offensive in the spring.

Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that the country cannot initiate a new offensive until it receives more weapons from the West. However, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin expressed confidence that Ukraine has a good opportunity to counterattack in the spring and achieve victory. Austin cites the Ukrainian military's success in inflicting significant losses on Russia during the past winter and claims that Russian forces have exhausted their means of combat.

US President Joe Biden expressed concern about Russia's plan to deploy nuclear weapons to Belarus. Russian President Vladimir Putin recently announced the construction of a nuclear storage facility in Belarus, which has been criticized by Western countries as irresponsible and unacceptable.

Trump's Clarification and International News

Former US President Donald Trump addressed rumors about his relationship with Russia and the current White House's handling of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Media reports suggested that Trump flew to Moscow to meet with Putin, but these reports have been deemed untrue. In other news, Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian visited Moscow to discuss priority issues such as Tehran's nuclear program and bilateral relations.

China has threatened retaliation if the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Kevin McCarthy, holds talks with Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen during her visit to the US. The Chief of Staff of the Indian Army, Manoj Pande, stated that India is prepared for any possible conflict situation at the disputed border with China. In Greece, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis has called for parliamentary elections to be held on May 21. Finally, the UK flag was flown in front of the Brandenburg Gate in Germany to announce the upcoming visit of King Charles and Queen Camilla.

Overall, tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to escalate, with predictions of a potential attack by Russia in the coming months. The involvement of other countries such as the US and Germany adds complexity to the situation. This conflict remains a cause for concern on the international stage, as it has the potential to escalate further and impact global security. The situation requires careful monitoring and a comprehensive approach to prevent further escalation.