Mỹ Cay Đắng Thừa Nhận Sự Thật Ở Crimea Có Thể Khiến Ukraine Tức Giận | Xung Đột Nga Ukraine 27/3

Ukraine is currently unable to launch a major counteroffensive in the ongoing conflict in the east due to a shortage of weapons, according to President Telesaki. The situation in the region remains unstable, and the main reason for this is a lack of ammunition. President Telesaki stated in an interview with Japanese media that they are waiting for weapons to arrive from their partners, but until then, they cannot deploy forces for a counteroffensive campaign.

President Telesaki further admitted that the Russian forces have the upper hand in terms of firepower, with a threefold advantage in terms of frequency and consumption of ammunition per day compared to the Ukrainian military. This military asymmetry makes it impossible for Ukraine to send troops to the front line, as they are lacking tanks and artillery.

While there is political will from certain countries to support Ukraine, the country cannot wait for assistance. President Telesaki emphasized that Ukraine is currently in a state of war and cannot afford to wait. The United States and Western countries have pledged to provide hundreds of main battle tanks, armored vehicles, and bridging vehicles for heavy transportation. They are also supplying large quantities of 155mm artillery shells and various types of ammunition, which have been identified as critical needs.

According to Western experts, Ukraine may be able to launch a counteroffensive in the near future. However, the country faces the challenging task of defending against continuous Russian advances with their overwhelming advantage in air support and troop numbers. Western experts also argue that Ukraine needs to hold out and gain control of more territory before receiving advanced weaponry such as main battle tanks and artillery.

The United States has urged Ukraine to conserve ammunition and carefully select their targets. This strategic approach is of special concern in the 31 locations where both Ukrainian and Russian forces are rapidly increasing artillery intensity.

The Ministry of Defense of the United States has revealed that Ukraine is consuming more than 90,000 155mm artillery shells per month to ensure sufficient ammunition for the next phase of the conflict. The United States has tried to enhance domestic production, but this process takes time as it requires preparation and hiring labor for production lines.

An American advisor to the Ukrainian Armed Forces' Commander-in-Chief predicted that Ukraine's upcoming counteroffensive would surprise the world. He argued that the Ukrainian military is in a better state than last year and is much better equipped. He stated, "I believe that this spring, Ukraine will launch a powerful counteroffensive that will leave the world in awe."

Last week, Politico reported that the United States predicts Ukraine will begin its counteroffensive in May after receiving additional weapons support from the West. While no final decision has been made regarding the counteroffensive strategy, U.S. officials believe that Ukraine could advance towards Crimea by either crossing the river towards Dnipro or moving from the north to cut off Russian forces on the peninsula.

In recent weeks, there have been numerous signs indicating Ukraine's preparations for a large-scale counteroffensive. The Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Ground Forces confirmed that they will soon deploy the counteroffensive in the Petmod area. This comes as Russian forces are weakening after months of concentrated efforts in the fiercest front. Jeff Gunny Pelie, the head of the private military company Quocner, which is involved in the military campaign, revealed that they have concentrated around 80,000 troops to prepare for the counteroffensive.

Denis Posillin, the head of the separatist Donetsk People's Republic, stated that the West is consolidating significant resources and providing aid to Ukraine, pressuring the country's armed forces to launch a counteroffensive. He said, "We see that the West, especially the United States, is urging Ukraine to launch a counteroffensive. They need a victory, and that's why they are allocating enormous financial and logistical resources to Ukraine."

Some experts believe that Ukraine can take advantage of Russia's need for time to replenish their forces and address ammunition shortages, forcing Moscow to switch from offense to defense. However, Ukraine, being significantly larger, needs to make swift and decisive counteroffensive moves to capitalize on Russia's diminishing strength.

Meanwhile, Russia has dismissed rumors of depleted weapons and manpower. Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, Michi Everest, stated that Russia is ready to counter Kenna's offensive campaign. Everest also mentioned that Russia does not rule out the possibility of expanding the offensive until Ukraine complies with their demands. Moscow's objective is to create non-military buffer zones within Kenna's territory surrounding the areas that Russia has annexed. "We need to achieve all the previously stated objectives and create a buffer zone that restricts the use of any weapons at medium and short distances, meaning 70-100 km, to demilitarize the area," he said.

The tension between Ukraine and Western countries, who support their cause, with regards to the potential consequences of the conflict, particularly concerning Crimea's status after Russia's annexation in 2014, remains unresolved. While Ukraine has never accepted the annexation, it has also refrained from challenging it with violence. However, Ukrainian politicians, including President Vlimbiaz, have repeatedly stated that the war aims include liberating all occupied territories, including Crimea and parts of Donbas. This objective has divided Ukraine's Western allies, with some believing that lasting peace cannot be achieved without reclaiming Crimea since Russia will maintain its presence there, posing a threat of nuclear weapons usage.

On the other hand, if Ukraine were to regain control of Crimea, it could deal a decisive blow to Vladimir Putin and potentially force Russia to resort to legal action to seek a peaceful resolution. General Bent Hoggest, the U.S. Army Europe's Deputy Commander, argued earlier that reclaiming Crimea would be the quickest way to end the war and should be the primary goal for Ukraine and its allies. However, those concerned about regaining Crimea through force believe that it would pose significant military challenges and risk escalating the situation due to its political significance and strategic importance to the Kremlin.

Secretary of State Blinken was asked whether the U.S. supports Ukraine retaking Crimea, to which he responded by saying, "My greatest fear is not the recognition that Crimea is different from the eastern region. Crimea is a sensitive issue, and reclaiming it may be seen as a provocation." The United States is Ukraine's most important military supporter and has openly committed to continue its assistance until Russia is defeated. However, Secretary Blinken told the U.S. Congress that some war aims may be achieved through diplomacy rather than warfare. "I think there's going to be territory in Ukraine that Ukrainians are determined to fight for on the ground and may not be territory they try to regain in other ways. That's about what they want their future to look like and how it affects their sovereignty, their territorial integrity, and independence. They're the ones who should be making that determination," he added. "What we don't want to see is addressing this in a very simple way and just calling on the Russians to renormalize armed forces and then attack again."

In conclusion, the lack of weapons and ammunition has hindered Ukraine's ability to launch a major counteroffensive in the conflict. Although Ukraine is receiving support from its Western allies, it cannot afford to wait for assistance. The upcoming counteroffensive is anticipated to surprise the world, according to American advisors, due to the improved state and equipment of the Ukrainian military. However, Ukraine faces significant challenges and risks in reclaiming Crimea and achieving lasting peace in the region. The delicate balance between diplomacy and warfare continues to shape the future of the conflict in Ukraine.